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India vs New Zealand series decider preview with toss prediction over-by-over score forecast batting and bowling charts player performances and final match winner prediction.
India vs New Zealand 3rd ODI: Series Decider Match Preview and Prediction
The third ODI between India and New Zealand is not just another international match. It is the deciding game of the series, with both teams locked at 1–1. Everything comes down to this contest. The team that handles pressure better uses conditions smartly, and wins key moments will walk away with the series.
India enter the match with strong home support and a deep batting line-up while New Zealand rely on discipline adaptability and smart bowling plans. With a flat pitch and high-scoring conditions expected fans can look forward to a competitive and intense encounter.
Toss Prediction and Match Strategy
On this surface the toss plays a major role. The pitch is expected to be good for batting throughout the innings with minimal movement for fast bowlers after the first few overs. Teams batting first have enjoyed success here by putting runs on the board and applying pressure later.
Toss Prediction: India to win the toss
Decision: Bat first
Batting first allows India to use their top order fully and post a total that puts New Zealand under scoreboard pressure in a series decider.
If India Bat First – Expected Team Score
India’s batting strength lies in its top and middle order. If they manage the powerplay sensibly and accelerate in the final overs a big total is very much achievable.
India Over-by-Over Score Projection
| Overs | Expected Score |
|---|---|
| 0–10 | 60–70 |
| 11–20 | 110–120 |
| 21–30 | 160–175 |
| 31–40 | 220–245 |
| 41–50 | 310–325 |
Expected Final Score: 310–325 runs
The key phase will be the last 10 overs where India are expected to score close to 100 runs if wickets are in hand.
India Batting Performance Prediction
| Player | Runs | Balls | 4s | 6s |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shubman Gill | 80–95 | 90–105 | 9–11 | 2–3 |
| Rohit Sharma | 45–55 | 35–45 | 5–7 | 2–3 |
| Virat Kohli | 70–85 | 75–90 | 6–8 | 1–2 |
| Shreyas Iyer | 40–60 | 35–45 | 4–6 | 1–2 |
| KL Rahul | 35–50 | 30–40 | 3–5 | 1–2 |
Gill and Kohli are expected to anchor the innings while Rahul and Iyer provide momentum in the latter half.
New Zealand Bowling vs India – Expected Figures
| Bowler | Overs | Runs | Wickets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Boult | 10 | 55–65 | 1–2 |
| Matt Henry | 10 | 60–70 | 1–2 |
| Mitchell Santner | 10 | 45–55 | 1–2 |
| Lockie Ferguson | 8–9 | 55–65 | 1 |
| Support Bowlers | 6–7 | 40–45 | 1 |
New Zealand’s challenge will be controlling India in the final overs where runs tend to flow quickly on this ground.
New Zealand Chase Scenario
Chasing a target above 310 in a series decider is never easy. New Zealand will need a steady powerplay and at least one big partnership in the middle overs.
New Zealand Over-by-Over Chase Projection
| Overs | Expected Score |
|---|---|
| 0–10 | 45–55 |
| 11–20 | 95–110 |
| 21–30 | 145–165 |
| 31–40 | 200–220 |
| 41–50 | 290–300 |
Expected Final Score: 290–300 runs
Despite a strong effort the required run rate may rise sharply in the final overs.
New Zealand Batting Performance Prediction
| Player | Runs | Balls | 4s | 6s |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Conway | 45–60 | 55–65 | 5–7 | 1 |
| Will Young | 30–45 | 40–50 | 3–5 | 1 |
| Daryl Mitchell | 70–85 | 75–90 | 7–9 | 1–2 |
| Glenn Phillips | 40–55 | 30–40 | 4–6 | 2–3 |
| Lower Order | 25–35 | — | — | — |
Mitchell is expected to be the backbone of the chase while Phillips provides late acceleration.
New Zealand: 295 runs (all out) in 49.2 overs
India Bowling Performance Prediction
| Bowler | Overs | Runs | Wickets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jasprit Bumrah | 10 | 45–55 | 2 |
| Mohammed Siraj | 9–10 | 50–60 | 1–2 |
| Kuldeep Yadav | 10 | 48–55 | 2 |
| Hardik Pandya | 6–7 | 35–40 | 1 |
| Support Bowlers | 6–8 | 45–50 | 1 |
Kuldeep’s role in the middle overs could decide the outcome especially if he breaks partnerships.
Key Turning Point of the Match
The most decisive phase will be overs 41–50 of India’s innings. If India cross 315 runs New Zealand will be forced into risky shots during the chase. Another critical moment will be how New Zealand handle Kuldeep Yadav in the middle overs.
Final Match and Series Prediction
Taking all factors into account:
- Home conditions
- Deeper batting line-up
- Stronger spin options
- Better death-over control
India are expected to win the match by 15–25 runs and clinch the series 2–1.
New Zealand will compete hard and stay in the game for long periods, but India’s balance and experience give them the edge in a pressure situation.
Conclusion
This India vs New Zealand third ODI has all the ingredients of a classic series decider. Big runs, key individual performances and moments of pressure will define the result. If India bat first and post a strong total, their bowlers have enough quality to defend it. New Zealand’s challenge will be staying calm during crucial phases and avoiding a collapse under pressure.
With form,conditions, and depth slightly favoring the hosts India appear better placed to lift the series, though New Zealand will ensure the contest remains intense until the final overs.